Expression 8: "B" equals normal distribution left parenthesis, "b" Subscript, "m" , Baseline , "b" Subscript, "s" , Baseline , right parenthesisB=normaldistbm,bs
MeanStandard Deviation
8
This is the evidence that we would have to get to change our minds. If we don't get something this extreme, then we will chose the same thing we chose before.
9
Expression 10: "x" Subscript, 0 , Baseline equals StartFraction, "s" squared Over "b" squared , EndFraction left parenthesis, "a" Subscript, "m" , Baseline negative "b" Subscript, "m" , Baseline , right parenthesis positive "a" Subscript, "m" , Baselinex0=s2b2sam−bm+am
equals=
0.7 50.75
10
This is the likelihood function of the result above.
11
Expression 12: "L" equals normal distribution left parenthesis, "x" Subscript, 0 , Baseline , "s" , right parenthesisL=normaldistx0,s
MeanStandard Deviation
12
Expression 13: "v" equals "B" .cdf left parenthesis, negative 20 , "x" Subscript, 0 , Baseline , right parenthesis times "a" Subscript, "m" , Baseline plus Start integral from "x" Subscript, 0 , Baseline to 20, end integral, "b" times "B" .pdf left parenthesis, "b" , right parenthesis "d" "b"v=B.cdf−20,x0·am+∫20x0b·B.pdfbdb
equals=
2.0 7 6 9 9 9 3 1 1 7 22.07699931172
13
Finally, this is the value of the trial
14
Expression 15: "v" negative left brace, "b" Subscript, "m" , Baseline greater than "a" Subscript, "m" , Baseline : "b" Subscript, "m" , Baseline , "b" Subscript, "m" , Baseline less than or equal to "a" Subscript, "m" , Baseline : "a" Subscript, "m" , Baseline , right bracev−bm>am:bm,bm≤am:am
